Here's how I see it personally:
1. Dimel has regressed despite more talent and his style is boring.
2. Dimel has gotten Utep to a middle of the run to lower CUSA team that will compete, but not win much. There is a possibility of a bowl maybe every 3 or 4 years if he stays. He will never compete for championships however or probably even win a bowl. Utep under him will be bad to just ok as his ceiling.
3. Utep does have enough money to cut ties, beyond popular belief and pay a guy coming in right around a Mil. People forget a couple of things. Utep already has one of the top Football Budgets in the conference, they get a little more money from the new TV Deal and a forgotten factor.... Utep is going to be getting money each year from the teams that defected.
4. Senter seems to put more on academic excellence, stability and loyalty than winning and making the fan base and boosters happy. With that said, real change will only happen probably once he's replaced with someone who cares more about Athletic Excellence!
5. Will Utep be set back 1 or 2 years, once Dimel is fired, more than likely. However the turn around should be much quicker and has proven to be quicker with new transfer rules in place. So get the right coach and it can turned around relatively quickly.