These bookies literally use scientific statistical analysis to get the spread. Miner fans know that Kugler will have this team ready to play, but no one has seen the newly installed "Wild Miner" with Kavika Johnson, Jones or Golden in live fire nor have we seen a passing game to keep defenses' honest. I thought is was high, but I get their POV for the large spread.
What I do think will happen is that the Arkansas defensive unit will get little bit of a surprise because unlike decades past, UTEP's offensive line has now become UTEP's strength. UTEP's has never had a coach whose philosophy is too build around the line, then develop out.